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4DVarNet-FM

Flow matching for variational data assimilation, benchmarked against classical DA on three dynamical systems.

The question: can a learned generative prior (conditional flow matching, Tweedie decompositions, unrolled 4DVarNet solvers) match or beat EnKF / ETKF / strong- and weak-constraint 4D-Var on the same observation geometry and the same error metrics?

Case studies

system role
Lorenz-63 smallest testbed; parameter-estimation and randomized-parameter studies
Lorenz-96 (two-scale) the main benchmark — model error, observation-density sweeps, most neural schemes
QG (two-layer quasi-geostrophic) spatially extended reference case; DA baselines on a Phillips channel

Getting started

Read docs/CONTRIBUTING.md — it walks one full Lorenz-96 loop end to end: generate data, run the DA baselines, train a neural scheme, evaluate it against them, render the benchmark table.

Layout

data/        per-system truth simulation, observation geometry, datasets
models/      dynamics (per system) + neural architectures
training/    PyTorch Lightning wrappers and the two-stage training pattern
evaluation/  DA baselines (EnKF/ETKF/4DVar) and neural inference + metrics
conf/        Hydra structured-config schemas
config/      YAML experiment presets
reports/     per-case-study report generators and their result JSONs
tests/       pytest suite ('not slow' subset is the merge gate)
batch/       SLURM scripts

Results and their provenance live in reports/<system>/outputs/. The report generators render from stored JSON, so a report can always be regenerated without re-running the science.

Documentation

doc what it covers
docs/CONTRIBUTING.md worked path, conventions, gotchas
docs/plans/tech/multi_refactor_plan.md where the code structure is heading
AGENTS.md session workflow, git/PR rules, changelog policy
PLAN.md the running scientific design plan
docs/plans/tech/worktrees.md the one-worktree-per-topic setup

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